All Blacks’ 2024 schedule: 10 is the magic number in Scott Roberton’s first year

It’s a big year for the All Blacks. Some might see that as a redundant statement – it’s always a big year for the men in black – but there’s something a little different in the air after the heartbreak of last year’s Rugby World Cup final.

Ian Foster is gone. The formerly under-fire coach bowed out with a World Cup runners-up medal draped around his neck at Stade de France last October. There was no fairytale finish for the man affectionally known as ‘Fozzie.’

But the new dawn of a new era is upon New Zealand Rugby. Much to the delight of many, Scott Robertson was named as Fosters’ successor in early 2023.

Seven-time Super Rugby champion coach Scott Robertson is considered the man who can take the All Blacks back to where they belong: the top.

Robertson gathered 22 All Blacks for a brief two-day camp in Auckland early in the new year which was a sign of intent, determination and urgency. Test match footy isn’t that far away.

The All Blacks’ playing future in 2024 was revealed to the public on Thursday morning. It’s an intriguing 14-match season which includes a trip to the U.S of A to play the Flying Fijians.

It’s exciting, but Robertson’s judgement is nigh. By the time the All Blacks walk off the field after playing Italy on their Northern Tour – their last dance for the year – the new-look All Blacks will either be scrutinised or praised.

For it to be the latter, it’s time to be realistic. 10 is the magic number for Scott Robertson’s All Blacks in 2024 – that should be widely seen as their winning pass mark.

Robertson’s first two Tests will be against Steve Borthwick’s England during the July internationals. New Zealand will host their traditional foe in Dunedin on July 6 and Auckland on the 13^th.

The All Blacks need to win both. No ifs, buts or maybes, losing is not an option.

If it hadn’t been for a famous Springboks fightback in one of last year’s World Cup semi-finals, England would’ve played the All Blacks in the big one. They’re two very good teams – England could very well take out the Six Nations – but winning on home soil is a must.

Since the start of the new World Cup cycle in 2020, the All Blacks failed to win four Tests in New Zealand. They only played 15 - losing more than a quarter of their Tests (26.67). It started with a shock draw to the Wallabies in Wellington, included two defeats to Ireland, and an upset against Argentina in Christchurch.

For the All Blacks to return to world No. 1 status, that needs to change.

Then the All Blacks head north to the Land of the Free where they’ll take on the Flying Fijians in San Diego.

“The Fijians know their way around the world, and they’ll come out from everywhere,” coach Robertson said in a statement. “I know a lot of Kiwis will make the trip as well.”

Fiji have never beaten the All Blacks in seven meetings and Robertson can’t afford for that to change. If the World Cup fan favourites did get the better of their heavily fancied opponents, it would be an upset that’d echo throughout rugby history forever.

But the caveat to all this is the grand stage that is America. A neutral Test in the USA can be distracting for the All Blacks - let's not forget what happened in 2016 against Ireland in Chicago.

Still, the All Blacks should be three from three at this stage.

But this is where it gets tricky.

After starting their Rugby Championship campaign with two wins over Argentina on New Zealand soil, the All Blacks will come up against the two-time defending world champions away.

The Springboks will host their arch-rivals in Johannesburg and Cape Town, and they’ll be very tough to beat at either of those venues. Winning at altitude at Ellis Park would have to be considered far more likely than getting one over the Boks at DHL Stadium.

At the very best, the All Blacks will split that series 1-1.

Then there’s the Wallabies. It’s hard to know what to say about the men in gold.

Having moved on from Eddie Jones and the disappointment of last year’s World Cup pool stage exit, Rugby Australia has signed Joe Schmidt as the Wallabies' new head coach – a major coup for Aussie rugby.

Schmidt will transform the Wallabies in ways that his predecessors Dave Rennie and Eddie Jones couldn’t. This Wallabies team could even challenge for Rugby Championship glory – you can screenshot this, too.

Expect the Wallabies to get the better of the All Blacks in Sydney – ending New Zealand’s four-match winning streak in the Harbour City. But the All Blacks have a history of Trans-Tasman dominance across the ditch, and fans will want to see that continue.

The All Blacks will likely retain the Bledisloe Cup, and, if the rest plays out as expected, they’ll have won seven from nine Tests by the end of September.

The Northern Tour will be tough. After playing Japan in Yokohama, the New Zealanders will take on some of the world’s best teams.

Many would consider Japan and England the underdogs in the first two Tests of the All Blacks[ trip north, but Ireland and France at home – venues TBC – will be overwhelming favourites themselves.

The All Blacks have never lost to Italy and that shouldn’t change in 2024.

By the end of 2024, the All Blacks should’ve won at least 10 Test matches. That’s the pass mark. That’s what fans should expect.

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All Blacks vs England at Dunedin’s Forsyth Barr Stadium on July 6

All Blacks vs England at Auckland’s Eden Park on July 13

All Blacks vs Fiji at San Diego’s Snapdragon Stadium on July 20

Lipovitan D-Rugby Championship

All Blacks vs Argentina at Wellington’s Sky Stadium on August 10

All Blacks vs Argentina at Auckland’s Eden Park on August 17

South Africa vs All Blacks at Johannesburg’s Ellis Park on August 31

South Africa vs all Blacks at Cape Town’s DHL Stadium on September 7

Australia vs All Blacks at Sydney’s Accor Stadium on September 21

All Blacks vs Australia at Wellington’s Sky Stadium on September 28

Lipovitan D-Challenge Cup

Japan vs All Blacks at Yokohama’s Nissan Stadium on October 26

Northern Tour

England vs All Blacks at London’s Twickenham on November 2

Ireland vs All Blacks at TBC on November 9

France vs All Blacks at TBC on November 16

Italy vs All Blacks at TBC on November 23