How the Crusaders can make the playoffs and Brumbies can claim top spot
Only one team is out of the running for the Super Rugby Pacific playoffs with just one round remaining before the knockout stages commence.
Yes, outside of the Waratahs, every single team is still in contention for the 2024 Super Rugby Pacific title.
We've known for a couple of weeks who the top four teams are and therefore who will host the quarterfinals, and while the Chiefs are locked into fourth pace regardless of this weekend's results, the top three are all interchangeable depending on results over the final weekend.
The Blues, Hurricanes and Brumbies will all contend for the top seed, but it's the Blues in the driver's seat with just a win standing between them and absolute home-field advantage.
The Fijian Drua, currently sitting in eighth, play the seventh-place Rebels at home with the chance to claim their second straight playoffs appearance, and deny the defending champions a crack at the quarter-finals.
If the Drua were to fall to the Melbourne outfit, the Western Force, Moana Pasifika or the Crusaders are all in with a chance of snagging the eighth seed. Only one of the four can progress.
Below, you'll find the permutations for each team and the results that would lead to the most dramatic changes.
Permutations
1: Blues
Current: 51 points, +241 points difference with 11 wins
Best: First (Win v Chiefs)
Worst: Third (Loss v Chiefs and Hurricanes/Brumbies wins)
2: Hurricanes
Current: 51 points, +172 points difference with 11 wins
Best: First (Win v Highlanders and Blues loss)
Worst: Third (Loss v Highlanders and Brumbies win)
3: Brumbies
Current: 48 points, +94 points difference with 11 wins
Best: First (Win v Force and Blues/Hurricanes defeat)
Worst: Third (Brumbies, Blues and Hurricanes Win or Brumbies defeat)
4: Chiefs
Current: 43 points, +189 points difference with nine wins
Best/Worst: Fourth
5: Reds
Current: 36 points, +103 points difference with seven wins
Best/Worst: Fifth
6: Highlanders
Current: 28 points, -70 points difference with six wins
Best: Sixth (Win v Hurricanes or Rebels loss v Drua)
Worst: Seventh (Loss v Hurricanes, Rebels win v Drua)
7: Rebels
Current: 26 points, -126 points difference with five wins
Best: Sixth (Win v Drua, Highlanders loss v Hurricanes)
Worst: Eighth (Loss v Drua with Drua getting bonus point)
8: Fijian Drua
Current: 21 points, -123 points difference with five wins
Best: Seventh (Win v Rebels with bonus point)
Worst: 10th (Loss v Rebels and Force/Crusaders wins)
9: Western Force
Current: 19 points, -127 point difference with four wins
Best: Eighth (Win v Force, Drua loss v Rebels and Crusaders win w/out bonus point or loss)
Worst: 11th (Loss v Brumbies, Moana win v Crusaders, who get losing BP)
10: Crusaders
Current: 19 points, -39 points difference with three wins
Best: Eighth (Win v Moana and Force/Drua defeat)
Worst: 11th (Loss v Moana)
11: Moana Pasifika
Current: 18 points, -187 points difference with four wins.
Best: Eighth (Win v Crusaders and Force/Drua defeat)
Worst: 11th (Loss v Crusaders)
12: Waratahs
Current: 12 points, -127 points difference with two wins
Best/Worst: 12th
Permutations courtesy of Super Rugby Pacific.
Latest Comments
They also use a far more consistent scale.
Rugby pass seem to have a different scale for each player based on the authors expectations or how much he likes them.
Can't fathom how Moodie and Reece both were a 3.
Go to commentsYes for sure, thanks for sharing. I fully understand that both parties are better off, no one needs to lose, neither competition suffers, in fact both can be better as a result.
Too many true rugby fans (and analysts) don't understand that.
I wouldn't imagine there is a date aye. It was a long decline rugby in SA and Australia was going through, and was so bad it even effected NZ, caused them to argue to can a couple of teams. The nation of SA probably grew into it? I know I watch more of the NH now specifically because of the SR teams playing there. I actually had to mention to Nick Bishop (because of his stubborn perspective) the other day that I've never been a fan of Super Rugby, I don't think they chose the right way to go about professionalism back in 1995. Unfortunately, NZR was stuck between a rock and a hard place, because it had SA's and Australians that ran their unions by States, so we had to separate into "two or three" teams as a result. Our game is in the kak now because of it, they want to kill off the lifeblood of our National Provincial Championship. But now we might see a way out of it, so it's all good.
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