Scott Roberston needs to send Samipeni Finau on a Marcus Smith mission
Ahead of Scott Robertson's first Test as head coach of the All Blacks, there is really only one positional group that hasn't picked itself, and that is the loose forward combination.
Even within that group, we've been told that Ardie Savea will play as a No 8, so that leaves the two flanker positions up for grabs between Dalton Papalii, Ethan Blackadder, Samipeni Finau and Luke Jacobson.
With England naming Marcus Smith at flyhalf for the opening match, the intriguing pick for blindside is Chiefs hitman Samipeni Finau who has a reputation for putting 10s under pressure.
His Super Rugby season was littered with jarring post-pass tackles inducing panic and outrage on the X platform, with many concerned with the legality of the timing of the hits that left a handful of Aussie 10s writhing in a heap on the grass.
Smith is now England's key man. Veterans George Ford and Owen Farrell have carried the torch for so long and been in and around Smith in England camp until now.
Despite debuting in 2021, the 2022 calendar year was Smith's big step up at international level, starting at No 10 all through the Six Nations, through the Australia tour, and the November series. It was a trying time that ended with Eddie Jones' departure.
With Jones gone, Steve Borthwick went back to the tried and true, recalling George Ford. At last year's Rugby World Cup, Smith was thrown out the back as a makeshift fullback.
The 25-year-old is now back in the driver's seat as a 10 ahead of the biggest series of his career, with Ford and Farrell really out of the picture for the first time in his international career.
He delivered a maestro performance against Japan in the Tokyo heat, scoring a scintillating try and assisting on two more, showing the full range of his attacking skillset.
The assignment for the All Blacks is pretty clear: shut him down and shut him up. The fiery competitor is one for theatre, not afraid of the war of words and certainly expresses himself verbally when on top.
He might have trouble talking after a Finau shot to the ribs that could knock the wind out of him. He won't be able to feel his face in the Dunedin wind tunnel that is Forsyth Barr Stadium. When he momentarily can't breathe as well, that sounds like the place Scott Robertson will want to put him.
And Samipeni Finau is the man to deliver that for the All Blacks.
Throwing Smith off his game, even just for a 15 to 20-minute period, can alter the Test completely. It is forgotten how quickly Ireland fell apart in the space of 10 minutes at Eden Park without Johnny Sexton in the first Test of the 2022 series.
A Sevu Reece intercept try sparked a three-try splurge that buried Ireland early as the All Blacks romped home to a big win.
Smith has much more to his game than many of Finau's Super Rugby scalps. He has great feet, a vicious step and a lightning-fast goose that could see the mouse escape the clutches of the cat.
The lead rusher has been left clutching air plenty of times over Smith's career, often only to look back and see the No 10 set up a try or score himself from the line break. But rarely if ever at Test level. And that is why the gamble is worth taking.
Finau is a rangy hybrid lock with a wide wingspan, his long reach is a valuable asset come linout time. Rarely does he miss when shooting out of the line, but if he does, he has that reach to fall back on to pull a jersey.
This is the biggest series of Marcus Smith's career, a mountain to climb that hasn't been conquered by the Harlequins playmaker: playing the All Blacks in New Zealand.
There are just three European teams in the pro era to win on New Zealand soil; the 2003 England team with all-time greats like Martin Johnson and Johnny Wilkinson, and the 2022 Ireland side with multiple World Player of the Year winners and buckets of experience. The 2009 French side is the only other to log a win.
England went on to win the Rugby World Cup and Ireland nearly equalled the record for the longest Test winning streak with 17. The common dominator with both of those teams is historic greatness in one way or another, something this England team does not have in any way, shape or form.
The third-placed finishers in this year's Six Nations are being talked up as a genuine chance to do something. That Marcus Smith will deliver a victory over the All Blacks at home.
The side that fumbled their way through a loss to Scotland at Murrayfield in February with one of the worst handling performances of all-time will get it together like they did the week after at Twickenham against Ireland.
There is a lot of young, exciting talent in this England side, let's be clear. But that typically doesn't win down here.
And neither do sides that are inconsistent as England's current bunch.
Latest Comments
"fl's idea, if I can speak for him to speed things up, was for it to be semifinalists first, Champions Cup (any that somehow didn't make a league semi), then Challenge's semi finalists (which would most certainly have been outside their league semi's you'd think), then perhaps the quarter finalists of each in the same manner. I don't think he was suggesting whoever next performed best in Europe but didn't make those knockouts (like those round of 16 losers), I doubt that would ever happen."
That's not quite my idea.
For a 20 team champions cup I'd have 4 teams qualify from the previous years champions cup, and 4 from the previous years challenge cup. For a 16 team champions cup I'd have 3 teams qualify from the previous years champions cup, and 1 from the previous years challenge cup.
"The problem I mainly saw with his idea (much the same as you see, that league finish is a better indicator) is that you could have one of the best candidates lose in the quarters to the eventual champions, and so miss out for someone who got an easier ride, and also finished lower in the league, perhaps in their own league, and who you beat everytime."
If teams get a tough draw in the challenge cup quarters, they should have won more pool games and so got better seeding. My system is less about finding the best teams, and more about finding the teams who perform at the highest level in european competition.
Go to commentsWalter has been permanently psychologically damaged since his wife left him and moved in with a man from Sydney.
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