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Six Welsh players that have a fight on their hands to make the Rugby World Cup

Keelan Giles and Dan Biggar

Clouds might be gathering up and down the UK as a once-glorious summer fades, but with the 2018-19 domestic season set to kick off on Friday night there is one corner of the island that continues to bask in bright, blue skies.

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The airspace above Welsh rugby HQ is anything but grey as Warren Gatland plots a course for the 2019 Rugby World Cup having built on an encouraging Six Nations campaign with a clean sweep summer tour.

Wales took an experimental squad to the United States and Argentina in June, and returned not only victorious but also with shoots of genuine, and in some positions frightening, squad depth. Those noises you can hear from the west of the River Severn are the unmistakable rumblings of optimism.

So, with just over 12 months until the World Cup kicks off, RugbyPass picked out six Welshman who face varying challenges this season as they look to book a seat on the flight to Japan.

Josh Adams (Worcester Warriors)

Worcester wing Josh Adams will attempt to follow up the success of his breakthrough international season while contemplating the biggest decision of his fledgling career.

Adams has entered the final year of his contract at Sixways and must make the journey back across the Severn Bridge if he is to continue his Wales career.

He insists his sole focus is scoring tries for the Warriors. If he continues to do so in such volume during the 2018-19 campaign then not only will the regions be beating down his door, but it will be hard for Gatland to leave him out of his World Cup squad.

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Josh Adams

His Worcester team-mate Chris Pennell is certain there is more to come from a player who has impressed ever since arriving in the West Midlands three years ago.

“Josh is obviously very physically gifted but he’s a smart, smart player, he’s very intelligent, he’s rugby smart and that’s stands him head and shoulders above a lot of the Welsh wingers that are currently around,” Adams’ Worcester team-mate Chris Pennell told RugbyPass.

“I think one of the reasons he’s scored so many tries is because he’s in the right place and he reads the game so well. There’s definitely a huge amount to come from him as well, he’s very much not the finished article by his own admission so it’s exciting, it’s really exciting.”

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Dan Biggar (Northampton Saints)

If ever there was a time over the last five years that Dan Biggar’s standing as Wales’ undisputed No. 10 was under threat, it is now.

As he took a well-earned break and prepared for his new life in Northampton, Rhys Patchell laid claim to the fly-half berth with an impressive tour of Argentina.

The Scarlets playmaker has emerged as an exciting option for Gatland since his move to west Wales, and the fact his regional team-mate Gareth Davies is now first-choice scrum-half will do his hopes of starting the autumn series no harm.

Biggar has done nothing wrong, and remains an excellent fly-half but with Gareth Anscombe, Rhys Priestland, Sam Davies and Jarrod Evans all vying for contention the competition for the No. 10 jersey will be intense leading into the World Cup.

Biggar rejected the notion that moving to the Gallagher Premiership so close to the World Cup is not a brave call, and having settled quickly in Northampton he is determined to excel for a Saints team given licence under Chris Boyd and Sam Vesty.

“We’ve had a long summer in terms of pre-season, it’s been a tough summer,” Biggar told RugbyPass. “The boys have put a lot of work in and overall it’s been really positive.

“I’ve enjoyed getting to know different people, testing myself in a different environment and it’s been really good.”

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Seb Davies (Cardiff Blues)

The battle to partner Alun Wyn Jones, fitness permitting, at the World Cup is shaping up to be an intense one. Jake Ball is returning from injury, while Adam Beard and Bradley Davies both got 40 minutes under their belts against Saracens in London on Thursday.

Dragons captain Cory Hill is arguably the man in possession of the shirt, but Seb Davies has a real shot at starting in Japan should he replicate the form that helped the Blues lift the Challenge Cup in May.

Davies has won six Wales caps since making his debut against Tonga last summer, but only half of those have come in his favoured position. The other three have come in the back row, where he started both victories over Argentina in June.

Given the wealth of options available to Gatland in that area it is unlikely that he will hold onto the number six shirt into the autumn series, but a good start to the season in the Blues engine room – where he should feature alongside another Wales international, Rory Thornton – could thrust him into contention at lock.

Gatland clearly rates the 22-year-old having capped him after just four league appearances, as a replacement, for the Blues.

Keelan Giles (Ospreys)

It was a watching brief again for Keelan Giles and the other injured Ospreys in London last Thursday evening, and although the young wing is not expected back on the pitch until October he will be keen to make up for lost time once fit.

Giles’ 2017-18 campaign was ended after just seven games due to serious knee ligament damage which forced him to undergo reconstruction surgery. Should he return when planned the 20-year-old will have missed a full calendar year of rugby.

In that time Steff Evans has become a Test regular while the form of Josh Adams and Tom Prydie plus the emergence of Owen Lane have pushed him further down the Wales depth chart.

Giles was an unused replacement when Wales beat Japan in Cardiff in November 2016, but despite touring the southern hemisphere with his national squad in consecutive summers he is yet to win a senior Test cap.

He has spoken in the past about how much a Wales cap would mean to him, and should he rediscover his try-scoring touch then that dream would again edge closer to becoming reality.

The Ospreys speedster is supremely talented having scored 16 tries in just 23 appearances for his region. Giles’ out-and-out pace and agility could yet offer Wales something different in Japan.

Ellis Jenkins (Cardiff Blues)

Given the year Ellis Jenkins has had thus far, it would take a brave person to wager against him ending this season on the plane to Japan.

Having made his Six Nations debut, led the Blues to Challenge Cup glory, co-captained Wales on a perfect summer tour and gone viral due to a WhatsApp mix-up between his mum and sister, 2018 has certainly been one to remember for the flanker.

Yet those achievements all occurred in a world in which Jenkins was yet to be confirmed as the Blues’ full-time skipper and Sam Warburton was still a registered player, making his way back from injury.

Warburton will make one final appearance on the Arms Park turf at half-time of the Blues’ opening PRO14 clash against Leinster on Friday, and Jenkins has a crucial role to play to help club and country fill his talismanic void – especially with Josh Navidi currently injured.

It will be fascinating to see whether Jenkins, who assumed the Blues captaincy from namesake Gethin Jenkins in pre-season, rises to the challenge facing him. If recent history is anything to go by then the answer to that particular question will be a resounding ‘yes’.

And with competition in the back-row fierce for both the Blues and Wales, he knows that he cannot afford to take his place in either squad for granted despite his newly acquired status at the Cardiff Arms Park.

“Being captain you have to make sure, first and foremost, that your performances are excellent and that will warrant you getting picked,” he said. “Even if you are captain, I’ve always said, if someone is playing better then they deserve to play.”

Dillon Lewis (Cardiff Blues)

Blues tighthead and coffee entrepreneur Dillon Lewis took his opportunity with both hands on Wales’ summer tour, playing in all three Tests – starting the first two – and generally impressing with his all-round play as South Africa and Argentina were both seen off.

To international observers it looked as though Lewis had put down a serious claim to the Welsh number three shirt on the road to Japan 2019 and beyond. But while he has put real pressure on Samson Lee and Tomas Francis in the lead up to the World Cup, his most pressing challenge is nailing down a spot in the Blues front row.

Lewis started just one PRO14 game for his region last season, thanks to a mixture of injury and the form of the evergreen prop Taufa’ao Filise.

The good news for the 22-year-old Wales hopeful is that Filise, 41, hung up his boots at the end of the last campaign, following 12 years at the Arms Park and 255 Blues appearances. But Lewis will still face a battle for the number three shirt in the Tongan prop’s absence.

The Blues have supplemented tighthead stocks that also include Scott Andrews and Anton Peikrishvili with the signing of highly-rated Moldovan prop Dmitri Arhip from Ospreys. Lewis is well aware he faces a tough challenge.

“My biggest goal this season is just playing regularly for the Blues,” he told WalesOnline. “Getting in a position where I’m playing week-in, week-out and get selected and play well is my biggest aim this year.”

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J
JW 17 minutes ago
Can the All Blacks regain their aura and maintain their winning legacy?

Welcome to the discussion Necusil!


First, we have to ensure you think big picture, right? There’s no point looking at like a jar of sweets.

It would be different if you had Mounga, Frizzel, Aaron Smith and Leicester in your starting line up right?

Yes, in the immediate term it would improve the squad and performances (lets say), but what are the consequences going to be long term Necusil?


Another interesting topic I’ll give to you is one that has been used often for South Africa (who is a little ahead of Argentina in that they opened eligibility why Argentinians where still required to play for Jaguares), and that is that all their overseas pros grew up and left SA after they had finished their development.


How much different is it going to be when Argentina’s players haven’t had multiple seasons in a pro team like Jaguares before they go overseas? How are you going to identify all the new players that are going to start growing up overseas? What quality was the environment of Jaguares? Was it over and above the majority of clubs that their players find themselves in now?


And lastly, what would you want, a strong Los Pumas playing great rugby and winning big games, or a strong Los Pumas playing great rugby and winning big games and a strong Jaguares playing great rugby and winning big games? South Africa disbanding Super Rugby by their decisions to join URC, that left Jaguares in a tough predicament, but really they were probably in the same predicament where they couldn’t afford to have the players sit out another year doing nothing waiting for COVID to pass. That doesn’t mean they can’t be part of Super Rugby now that is back up and running again.

86 Go to comments
J
JW 33 minutes ago
Can the All Blacks regain their aura and maintain their winning legacy?

You’re assumption is that players who can’t make the All Blacks when they are young/in their prime who leave to play in other countries will sacrifice playing for that country if called up, on the basis that they may be the 4th or 5th best is their position

Again, you’re using the flawed notion that they have another country to play for. They don’t. But also, yes, they would. There are plenty of minor factors like those to nut out but I’m not sure why you’re making up the premise (in your first para) that they aren’t selected for the All Blacks. Remember, if just a change is made, it would be for all teams, Maori, XVs, and any other development side they create/use.


I’m not sure you’re also factoring in wages, NZR pays more for International, NH players get more for domestic. Perhaps they’d get more money choosing NZ?

Which players do you think would sacrifice international careers with Wales, Ireland, England and Scotland to hold tackle bags and “be opposition” for the starting team

You’re confusing the two different points I was replying to. I’ve made a huge list of players for current open eligibility already if you actually want to know who they potentially could have been. You have no note that we would have no idea who these players are as theres no point tracking their performance when they weren’t able to be selected. The premise though is that any in '“form” could have been better than any in form (or not, as this less numbers to chose from you often have to pick an out of form player) at home.


That second concept was that they could secure the best from playing for another country, and of those of course have already been named, and of course the benefits from being able to offload the current hasbeens from the current squad. Also with this second factor, you’d probably say it is a more recent one, where previously the NH hasn’t been able to develop players to the required level, so only those that left NZ already developed would have been a viable option. Now, we could see any unknowns potentially rise to the top and never be eligible to be chosen.


This of course is not to say I’m arguing for this decision. I was more giving a better perception of this particular component to the larger decision of ‘would it work’. In your proposition there is benefit to change if even one player would improve the team, so theres no point bring further names into the equation, and we don’t really want to do that, to go into the bottomless whole that is balancing the required benefit improvement in the squad from overseas selection compared to factors that may reduce improvement on the home side due to exodus.


The bottom line is that you are obviously going to A) continue to be able to select quality players that leave, therefor improving the squad, and B) be able to select for capture and assessment NZ talent from overseas. I’m not posting to show you the degree of talent.

86 Go to comments
J
JW 1 hour ago
Can the All Blacks regain their aura and maintain their winning legacy?

That Azzuri team beat France that or the following year. It’s a great example, like how Argentina has been. If the All Blacks didn’t have last years 2nd half Blues that Argentina test would have been a great ding dong battle (like their Lions game was) to the end. Win or lose.


Instead that didn’t do anything of note to counter them, much like how they were impotent against Ireland in test two or three (only getting by on brute power like with Akira solo try).


Those SA matches perhaps show how hard it is really going to be. They started by running and finding space but then got ground down only to see SA grind their way back into the lead, and most importantly here, then how NZ attack hardly even tried to fire a shot in return.


Guys with Fire and Brimstone attitude like Brodie Retallick (I’m not firing a shot at the current locks here) just seem to have a little bit more flair for backing themselves too. You enjoy moments where theyre going to risk throwing a dummy and step (could get nailed backwards) or stay up straight an pump the legs to break through rather than just worrying about recycling the ball every damn time. Then theres a bit of in your face hows your father and the two sides go at it.


Yep I think you’ve got it right on that last game too. That team was 15 and 2, with 1 draw from 18 games leading into that Final match. It was wasn’t a long enough stretch. Moments like Jordie looking to pass but not being confident enough to yet and getting smoked typified much of the play in the game. If they’re keeping at it they will improve and that match would be relayed quite differently.


Again, that answers obviously different for everyone, but as you can no doubt gather I’m first of all of the belief that one will flow into the other. That even if it’s not the winning solution for one off Finals, having a connected group of players consistently (trying) to put on points would at least restore a winning legacy. I say this because they other teams aren’t their yet, only France has that in patches, whims. Ireland had it in a formular and got really far with a very average team, but now it’s been ruined by Leinsters desire to get over the line against much better (staffed) French teams. I’m not sure they know enough about their winning formular, and obviously defences like NZs improved their shape to counter a lot of it’s strengths, but I reckon if they or other int sides could evolve it NZ will be on the back foot playing numbers wise, to having enough talent to pull it off.


But if we just say for argument sake that it’s either one or the other, and in a world where were playing well enough to look good, pulling off tries from halfway etc, just not enough to win, then that’s what I’d enjoy. I’d like how we play, I would be invested in how we play, and enjoy talking about the little things like who might be better or fundamentals that let them down a bit too much etc. I’m not really indicative I don’t think though, I can watch a game and team losing lineouts and scrums, and multiple parts of the ‘contest’, but if theyre moving the ball around the park by hand and foot and scoring more tries (like NZ used to do every game with 30or 40% possession) I’d think theyre the better team.


But I’m indebted to the game. So what I want wouldn’t come first in how I’d act. I’d do what’s right for rugby to thrive in NZ, so if that is one of these hypothetical situations where the laws of rugby dictate we need to do things like play 10 man rugby then so be it. So you’re talking finding whatever way they can to win in order to keep that All Black profile of dominance and it’s place in the marketing world, if money is what it came down to as being most important.

86 Go to comments
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