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What the Springboks must do to end the All Blacks' undefeated streak

By Ben Smith
(Photo by Dirk Kotze/Gallo Images/Getty Images)

There is a part of the Springboks psyche that explodes into action and smashes anything and anyone in front of it. Once physical ascendency is achieved, the belief grows and it becomes self-fulfilling.

Like the Springboks side who flared up last year in Sydney to bully the Wallabies, if South Africa find that enraged persona they will be able to beat New Zealand at the home of English rugby at Twickenham.

Ian Foster has said he isn't protecting anyone so the All Blacks are likely to field a decent team full of first-choice starters.

But there will be no Shannon Frizell to terrorise the South African pack, the man who lined up Willie le Roux and bulldozed the little playmaker in the corner at Mt Smart.

The All Blacks record with Frizell in the starting line-up at No 6 is phenomenal, over 90 per cent, at a time when the All Blacks have been well below that mark.

He will be missed and without him the advantage in the loose forwards will be with the Springboks.

That is, if they start Siya Kolisi, Pieter-Steph du Toit and Duane Vermeulen with Marco van Staden and Jasper Weise on the bench. If they are foolish and play a lock in the back row again they will miss a trick.

The first-choice unit above will provide the power needed to dominate the gain line and annihilate the All Blacks ruck. Sam Cane will be a battered body by the end of the day trying to deal with them.

Richie Mo'unga will be like a scared cat trying to play off back foot ball and kick everything back, which South Africa's backfield will be hoping to catch this time.

With Etzebeth and Mostert in the second row they need to actually compete at the line outs. Disrupt the ball at source and give the All Blacks nothing. No free rides this time around. It will be so much easier if they get up in the air and disrupt Codie Taylor's initial throw.

This will help prevent the big weakness being exposed, the slow props who get gassed and often blow a tire trying to get around the park.

Steven Kitshoff was trying to take a breather when Will Jordan unexpectedly got back to his feet and turned back in-field to run past him and the gaping hole he left open. Seconds later Aaron Smith was under the sticks for the opening try.

The Boks need as many stoppages as possible to drag the All Blacks into a stop-start set-piece game and protect the lungs of the big men.

By taking New Zealand 'to the gutters' they won't let them get momentum like in the first 20 minutes in Auckland.

Malcolm Marx must start and if he is allowed to play 60 minutes the All Blacks will lose three, possibly four, key possessions to the immovable force of Marx at the breakdown.

In the backline Mannie Libbok must start at 10, as he is the only 10. Blessed with an attacking skillset, Libbok was only given 18 minutes in Auckland. It's time for more. He brings a more rounded game than Willemse who can provide utility cover in the No 23 jersey.

Andre Esterhuizen in his starts at 12 has looked a lot better than Damian de Allende this year.

Esterhuizen hasn't seen much action recently and must be fizzing to go. He'll be back at Twickenham but there will be no Owen Farrell to level him out this time. He's a power runner that is in great form, De Allende seems to be struggling to adapt back to Test rugby from Japan.

It is clear that Canan Moodie and Kurt-Lee Ardense are the best options on the wings. Nothing beats prime athleticism on the edge and the 2019 pair are past their best.

Moodie is a tall player who can get up and provide stability in the air, something that was missing at Mt Smart.

The formula is simple, field the strongest pack possible and play the backs that are in form. Then flick the switch and get to the manic level mentally driven by red mist.

The All Blacks have won the last two and scored 35 points both times. They are now looking at three in a row over the World Cup holders.

A third straight loss would absolutely signal the failure of the attempted coup to arrest Southern Hemisphere power.